William and Mary
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
20  Regan Rome SO 19:32
24  Emily Stites SR 19:35
226  Meghan McGovern SR 20:24
313  Molly Breidenbaugh SO 20:36
676  Carolyn Hennessey SR 21:11
745  Molly Applegate JR 21:16
980  Leanna Eisenman JR 21:33
1,185  Anna Wasko FR 21:48
1,376  Deirdre Casey FR 22:01
1,401  Audrey Gordon SO 22:03
1,435  Rebecca Eudailey SO 22:05
2,217  Rachel Bloxom FR 22:59
National Rank #22 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 45.7%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 19.0%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 97.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Regan Rome Emily Stites Meghan McGovern Molly Breidenbaugh Carolyn Hennessey Molly Applegate Leanna Eisenman Anna Wasko Deirdre Casey Audrey Gordon Rebecca Eudailey
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 691 19:44 19:44 20:23 21:16 21:16 21:31 21:24 23:16 22:35 21:50
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 628 19:24 19:33 20:21 21:11 21:22 21:07 21:56
CNU Invitational 10/17 1238 21:32 21:39 21:57
Colonial Athletic Association Championship 10/31 603 19:48 19:38 20:25 20:32 21:11 21:01 21:32 21:49 21:46 21:44 22:33
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 725 19:25 20:33 20:11 20:53 21:33 21:28 22:16
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:33





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 45.7% 21.1 515 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.9 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.3
Region Championship 100% 3.7 154 0.1 2.1 44.5 42.0 9.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Regan Rome 98.7% 26.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.7 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.8 2.0
Emily Stites 95.5% 31.8 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.6 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.1 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7
Meghan McGovern 45.7% 158.9 0.0
Molly Breidenbaugh 45.7% 187.8
Carolyn Hennessey 45.7% 238.7
Molly Applegate 45.7% 241.9
Leanna Eisenman 45.7% 249.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Regan Rome 4.0 13.4 13.2 12.0 11.0 9.8 8.0 6.5 5.4 4.8 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.1 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Emily Stites 4.8 9.9 11.4 11.5 10.1 8.8 8.0 7.9 6.7 5.0 4.6 3.8 2.7 2.4 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Meghan McGovern 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 2.3 1.8 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.3 4.3 4.1 4.2
Molly Breidenbaugh 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.6 2.1
Carolyn Hennessey 75.2 0.0
Molly Applegate 81.1
Leanna Eisenman 106.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 2
3 44.5% 49.3% 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.5 2.5 22.6 22.0 3
4 42.0% 43.7% 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.2 23.7 18.4 4
5 9.0% 35.5% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 5.8 3.2 5
6 1.8% 1.8 6
7 0.4% 0.4 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 45.7% 0.1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 3.3 5.2 6.3 6.6 5.4 4.8 4.4 5.1 54.3 2.1 43.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina 39.3% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0